If The Know's calculations - as well as my own estimates - are correct, Half-Life 3 would still earn around $685 million in sales. Supposing that Half-Life 3 had a similar budget, it would cost about $35 million to release the game. Supposing that Left 4 Dead 2's development costs were on the lower end of the scale, I used a list compiled by Kotaku journalist superannuation to estimate the game's development budget to be around $10 million dollars based on similar games. The reason is that in their video they failed to account for development costs.Īccording to Valve's own press release, Left 4 Dead 2 had a $25 million advertising campaign. While I agree with their calculations, I disagree with their earnings estimate for Half-Life 3. They also estimated that if Valve sold 12 million units of Half-Life 3 - an estimate based upon past Half-Life series sales - they would earn about $720 million. Claim #1: Valve earns too much money to warrant a Half-Life 3 releaseĪccording to The Know's research, Valve has a revenue estimate of about $730 million a year. With the claims from two separate sources in mind, I decided to do some theorizing of my own, and came to the following conclusions based on The Know's research on the subject. Fears Half-Life 3 would suffer from the hype and expectations in a similar fashion as EA's Mass Effect 3.Only has 10 employees working on the game.Earns far too much money from Steam sales and micro-transactions to warrant development of Half-Life 3.According to their video found here, a current Valve employee claimed that the reason the game won't be released is due to the fact that Valve: However, a much more reliable source came to YouTube channel The Know. Furthermore, I have come to question the legitimacy of the user's claims due to the descriptions of L4D3's campaigns sounding too familiar to past maps, and user-generated content. The source's legitimacy comes into question since they did not release their name, ID card, or even a time-stamp from the company. Supposedly Left 4 Dead will be getting a third sequel earlier than that, and the characters have already been decided upon. In fact, the game "rarely gets mentioned inside the HQ." The Reddit user - who has since deleted their account - then went on to claim that Half-Life 3 has had a deadline for release for late 2017, or early 2018.
According to his/her post, testers have not seen anything remotely resembling a Half-Life 3 build. One such Reddit post includes a rant from a self-identifying ex-Valve game tester. The same goes for employees of major companies, and Valve is of no exception. Reddit, and all of the internet, is a well-known breeding ground for fake accounts claiming to be ex-FBI agents who claim to be releasing footage of UFOs, and other such rabble. The worst part? A lot of this is our fault. This goes for just about every game sequel that we've ever wanted. This isn't just about Half-Life 3, either. Instead, today we will be taking a look at why Half-Life 3 will never come out, a harsh slap of reality that we - as gamers - must accept. Unfortunately, this article isn't a theory on why Half-Life 3 is coming out, or what the game will be like.
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